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Rollovers in Forex
by Mark McRae
Even though the mighty US dominates many markets, most of Spot Forex is still traded through London in Great Britain. So for our next description we shall use London time. Most deals in Forex are done as Spot deals. Spot deals are nearly always due for settlement two business days later. This is referred to as the value date or delivery date. On that date the counter parties theoretically take delivery of the currency they have sold or bought.
In Spot FX the majority of the time the end of the business day is 21:59 (London time). Any positions still open at this time are automatically rolled over to the next business day, which again finishes at 21:59.
This is necessary to avoid the actual delivery of the currency. As Spot FX is predominantly speculative most of the time the traders never wish to actually take delivery of the currency. They will instruct the brokerage to always rollover their position.
Many of the brokers nowadays do this automatically and it will be in their policies and procedures. The act of rolling the currency pair over is known as tom.next, which stands for tomorrow and the next day.
Just to go over this again, your broker will automatically rollover your position unless you instruct him that you actually want delivery of the currency. Another point noting is that most leveraged accounts are unable to actually deliver the currency as there is insufficient capital there to cover the transaction.
Remember that if you are trading on margin, you have in effect got a loan from your broker for the amount you are trading. If you had a 1 lot position you broker has advanced you the $100,000 even though you did not actually have $100,000. The broker will normally charge you the interest differential between the two currencies if you rollover your position. This normally only happens if you have rolled over the position and not if you open and close the position within the same business day.
To calculate the broker's interest he will normally close your position at the end of the business day and again reopen a new position almost simultaneously. You open a 1 lot ($100,000) EUR/USD position on Monday 15th at 11:00 at an exchange rate of 0.9950.
During the day the rate fluctuates and at 22:00 the rate is 0.9975. The broker closes your position and reopens a new position with a different value date. The new position was opened at 0.9976 - a 1 pip difference. The 1 pip deference reflects the difference in interest rates between the US Dollar and the Euro.
In our example your are long Euro and short US Dollar. As the US Dollar in the example has a higher interest rate than the Euro you pay the premium of 1 pip.
Now the good news. If you had the reverse position and you were short Euros and long US Dollars you would gain the interest differential of 1 pip. If the first named currency has an overnight interest rate lower than the second currency then you will pay that interest differential if you bought that currency. If the first named currency has a higher interest rate than the second currency then you will gain the interest differential.
To simplify the above. If you are long (bought) a particular currency and that currency has a higher overnight interest rate you will gain. If you are short (sold) the currency with a higher overnight interest rate then you will lose the difference.
I would like to emphasise here that although we are going a little in-depth to explain how all this works, your broker will calculate all this for you. The purpose of this article is just to give you an overview of how the forex market works.
Good Trading
Best Regards
Mark McRae
http://www.surefire-trading.com/
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The primary factors influencing exchange rates include the balance of payments, the state of the economy, implications drawn from chart analysis as well as political and psychological factors.
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Not only is it an accessible, easy and less capital-intensive business opportunity, but it is much more cost efficient too to invest in the Forex market, in terms of both commissions and transaction fees. Generally, commissions for stock trades range from a low of $7.95-$29.95 per trade with on-line brokers to over $100 per trade with traditional brokers. Opposite to that, typically stock commissions are directly related to the level of service offered by the broker. At the high end, traditional brokers offer full access to research, analyst stock recommendations, etc. In contrast, on-line Forex brokers charge significantly lower commission and transaction fees.
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Gold is the mirror of Dollar for hedging purposes and the co-relation is excellent. Sometimes, when I am tired of double checking too many "inside infos" rushing in every hour, I just watch Gold to confirm and go ahead with the moves. Gold chart is one of the top charts you must always watch in forex trading. Eur/Gbp chart, along with the Eur/Jpy chart, is an excellent mirror for Eur/Usd directions most of the time too. Gold, Eur/Gbp and Eur/Jpy charts will tell most of the market story most of the time with Gold and Eur/Gbp leading Forex world most of the time. Good luck.
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The Big Picture of Currency Trading
By: James Theiss
Online currency trading (also known as FOREX, for foreign exchange) has all the benefits that a trader could want. With the 24 hour, 6 days a week marketplace, you can trade before work, during work, or after work. Whenever you see fit. The day begins in New Zealand and follows the sun through Asia, into Europe, and then the US. Then it starts all over again.
The FOREX market is the most liquid market in the world. That means that a trader can enter or exit the currency market whenever they want. With no commissions and no gaps, or lock limits, and no daily trading limit either. This market is bigger in daily volume than all of the other stock, bond, and futures markets of the world combined! And then some!
Leverage of 100 to 1 is considered normal when currency trading. Compare that to the 2 to 1 margin accounts at your stock brokerage. Plus, there's no margin interest expense either. But you better have your risk management system in place because, remember, leverage cuts both ways.
You've heard the saying,the trend is your friend. Well guess what the best trending market is? That's right, the FOREX market. Central banks and governments set their own monetary policy. Take the Fed for example. They don't (usually) raise interest rates today and then next week lower them. And then raise them again. No, they tend to gradually, over time, raise them, month by month, until they feel they are correctly positioned. And then they lower them, month by month, or quarter by quarter, whichever. That gradual tightening and loosening over an extended period of time is what creates those wonderful trends.
When you are trading currencies online, remember to trade with the trend. And when the trend ends, get out. It's that simple, just not that easy. Then start looking for the trend to reverse itself. You need to have no hang ups about being long or short when you trade currencies. At any given time, approximately a third of the currency pairs are are going up, a third are going down, and the other third are going sideways. So don't be afraid to go short. If you are coming from the stock market, there are no short squeezes to worry about, no one uptick rule, or any other crazy rules. You just decide to buy or sell; that's it.
When you trade currencies online, they are always bought and sold in pairs. An example of a currency pair is the popularly traded EUR/USD. This is the Euro vs. the U.S. Dollar. The currency on the left is called the base currency. The one on the right is the cross currency
If you buy the EUR/USD currency pair, you are buying euros, and at the same time, selling dollars. You would do this if you think the Euro is going to rise in value and/or you think the Dollar is going to fall in value.
If you sell the EUR/USD currency pair, you are selling euros, and at the same time, buying dollars. You would do this if you think the Euro is going to decline in value and/or you think the Dollar is going to rise in value.
Currency trading has so many benefits and advantages to it, it is no wonder why it is the fastest growing segment of the online trading community. The FOREX market offers superior potential to realize profits in any market condition or business cycle, making online currency trading an ideal diversification element in your total investment portfolio.
James is a successful online currency trader and also runs the popular website www.todayscurrencytrading.com
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The FX FOREX spot market does not have a physical location or a central exchange this makes it's very convenient for a beginner trading forex currency. Due to the lack of a physical exchange the forex market operates on a 24 hour basis spanning from one time zone to another across the major financial centers.
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Another way that experienced brokers and traders in the Forex use to forecast the trends is called fundamental analysis. This method is used to forecast the future of price movements based on events that have not taken place yet. This can range from political changes, environmental factors and even natural disasters. Important factors and statistics are used to predict how it will affect supply and demand and the rates of the Forex. Most of the time, this method is not a reliable factor on its own, but is used in conjunction with technical analysis to form opinion about the changes in the Forex market.
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What is a myth: A myth is often thought to be a lesson in story form which has deep explanatory or symbolic resonance for preliterate cultures, who preserve and cherish the wisdom of their elders through oral traditions by the use of skilled story tellers.
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Basic forex pivot point trading is based on two prevailing tendencies. If a day�s price action begins above the pivot point, prices will tend to stay above that point (fulcrum) until it reaches a resistance point. Conversely, if a day�s pricing action begins below the pivot point, the price will tend to stay below that point until it reaches a support point. A resistance level is a price that tends to prevent further upward movement. A support price is a price action point that tends to prevent further downward movement
More Forex Trading strategies InfoWhy is the Euro so Overvalued?Mon, 07 Apr 2008 15:05:44 -0400
EUR/USD is grossly over-valued, according to our valuation model and common sense. There are many reasons that have been offered to help explain this rising...
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